Friday, October 30, 2009
Picking Coins for Investment
Friday, October 23, 2009
Silver is lining its own future
Unlike gold, silver is widely used as an industrial commodity. Its use in jewelry and electronics has declined in the recent recession and new applications as an anti-microbial and other new to market uses has silver slated for a heavy rebound.
An historic price adjustment will bring this statistical disparity to a close. The silver/gold differential will revert to the mean, to the benefit of owners of silver assets. The bottom line: silver’s price performance historically holds a close correlation to gold’s price performance.
In early 2008 gold's market value was averaging $1000 per ounce and silver peaked at approximately $21 per ounce at the same time. Gold today is at or near record levels and silver took a fall to approximately $10 per ounce at the beginning of 2009 and has precipitously rebounded to $17.50 per ounce today.
Silver is lining its own future.
Coin Mercantile’s silver coins are priced very competitively and we have a unique selection of modern world silver coins. It is our strong believe that silver on a per ounce basis is likely to double in the next few years with global population growth driving and accelerating the world’s demand for precious metal commodities. Silver, in our opinion, will be one of the greatest beneficiaries.
With the mind of an investor, try our collector picks like the heavily in demand and pictured here 2009 China Silver Proof Kilo 60th Anniversary of the Founding of The Peoples Republic of China. And through the eye of a collector, consider the 2006 Spain 50 Euro Christopher Columbus- 5oz Silver Proof. A silver lined future is a bright one for the foreseeable future.
Tuesday, October 13, 2009
Historical Performance of the CU 3000 Numismatic Coin Index
Coins are timeless in the sense they have been used and accepted as legal tender for the thousands of years. Coins can be valuable objects and depending upon one’s coin selection are often considered a solid investment in the future as well as a practical investment in history. Do Not assume that every coin will increase in value, or hold its value, or that one coin is as good an investment as another. Achieving an Investment return for your coin portfolio depends upon your coin selections and the degree to which your coin portfolio meets quantitative and qualitative criteria which have historically been and at the time of sale, continue to be indicative of monetary value creation and increase over time. Always Remember: There are no guarantees that your coin portfolio will increase in value or provide you with an acceptable rate of return over time. However, statistics and coin indices such as the CU 3000 Coin Index have demonstrated that a well diversified coin portfolio can produce compelling investment returns over time. According to the CU 3000 Index (a standard for measuring numismatic coin performance):
Since 1970, the average annual return was 10.9%, compared to 6.9% for the Dow 30 stock
From 1981 to 1989, the index gained a total of 660%, well above other, larger asset classes
Of the 15 recessions since 1919, numismatic rare coins have performed well compared to other investments
REMEMBER: Past Performance is No Guarantee of future results
Friday, October 9, 2009
Peak Gold Signals a Terminal Fall in Gold Supply
Similar to peak oil, peak gold is defined as the time when maximum gold extraction occurred from the height of worldwide gold production. The total amount of gold in the world is estimated to be 242,000 tonnes by the United States Geological Survey. A tonne is one metric ton. Based on this USGS 2006 survey about 152,000 tonnes of gold have been mined since the beginning of man’s prize for the yellow metal. The halfway point of gold extraction, the top of the curve for all gold reserves in the world that has been extracted, would be 121,000 tonnes believed to have been extracted by the year 1993. If these estimations are correct, less than 90,000 tonnes remain in the world. Gold experts have backtracked when peak gold would have taken place, measuring the amount of total gold, at the height of production. These estimates conclude peak gold occurred sometime in the years 2000-01.
Monday, October 5, 2009
Collectible Coins Asset Class Characteristics
- Precious metal numismatic coins are a hard asset that historically have shown to often be insulated from declining values of paper currencies (e.g. the deterioration of the U.S. Dollar)
- Numismatic coins have historically been an excellent store of value and hedge against inflation
- Numismatics tend to have much less volatility in their prices than bullion (high circulation) coins which in contrast have almost a one-to-one relationship (1.0 correlation coefficient) with the movement of underlying spot precious metal prices. Numismatics have historically shown to have much greater price stability compared to bullion coins during both increasing and decreasing precious metals markets
- If structured properly (a disciplined and methodical approach meeting appropriate quantitative and qualitative criteria) numismatic coins can be an excellent asset class in which to diversify one’s portfolio